美元和美联储带来下行压力,黄金创最大单月跌幅
周三(6月30日)纽约商品交易所8月交割的黄金期货价格上涨0.5%,收于每盎司1771.60美元;黄金期货在6月份下跌超过7%,录得自2016年11月以来的最大月度跌幅。
U.S. Global Investors的首席交易员Michael Matousek将金价的小幅上涨归因于“超卖”市场中的一些逢低买盘,金价较6月初触及的高点已回落了8.6%。不过Matousek表示,黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力将保持完整,因通胀可能持续更长时间,尽管美联储立场更加鹰派。
交易员将关注经济数据和美联储官员讲话,以获取更多有关减码的线索。
里士满联储主席巴尔金周二称希望看到劳动力市场取得更大进展后再采取行动,而美联储理事Christopher Waller称就经济表现来看,有理由考虑撤回部分刺激措施。
大田环球分析师认为,即将到来的减码给实际利率和美元带来上行压力,使黄金”下半年面临下行风险。目前他们预测,未来六个月金价将跌至略低于1700美元/盎司,2022年可能大幅下跌。
有其它迹象表明投资者兴趣减弱,对冲基金持有的黄金期货净多头头寸减少至七周低点。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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