避險難敵強勢美元 現貨黃金高位震盪
現貨黃金截止至2020年01月28日4：00收盤於1580.8美元/盎司，昨日早間現貨黃金跳空高開並迅速沖高至1588美元/盎司上方，雖然隨後出現快速回落行情，但下方缺口處1575美元/盎司一線位置支撐有效，金價反彈並再度快速上攻，但並未能成功衝破1588美元/盎司一線壓力，後市持續高位震盪，今日金價亞盤維持震盪走勢並將震盪區間收窄為1580-1583內，現階段現貨黃金交投於1581美元/盎司一線。現貨白銀沖高回落，報18.08美元/盎司。
恐慌指數暴漲逾40%：對全球經濟前景的擔憂情緒拖累全球股市下跌，美國股市錄得三個月來最大單日跌幅，歐洲股市大跌2%，恐慌指數VIX創三個半月新高，給金價提供支撐。但是，美元的避險需求也有所增加，美元指數創近兩個月新高，再加上基本金屬和大宗商品的下跌對金價有所拖累，金價進一步上行空間受到限制。
油價下行或將持續：1月28日亞洲時段，NYMEX原油價格延續近日頹勢，持於53美元關口下方。雖然，隔夜中東局勢的小波瀾，連同OPEC官員釋放的強化減產預期，一度帶動油價短暫回升，但在需求不振壓力泰山壓頂的狀況下，油價的反彈常嘗試依然只能成為徒勞，在基本面未有徹底改觀的狀況下，下行趨勢恐將繼續維持相當一段時間。
關鍵字：黃金，原油
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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