现货黄金维持震荡格局,需要事件打破格局
关键词:现货黄金维持震荡
2月12日,现货黄金有所回升,挽回部分跌幅。但金价仍呈现震荡格局,在中美贸易谈判即将举行时,投资者总体趋于谨慎。同时美元维持高位,抑制了金价因为全球经济放缓担忧而出现的涨势。
分析师表示:“这里的重要因素是美元的走强,而它正受到贸易纠纷的支持。贸易纠葛削弱了全球新兴市场货币,意味着美元表现相对而言更好。这对黄金来说是负面的。”
分析师说:“黄金在短期内受到美元的推动。交易员正远离与欧洲有关的东西,因该地区表现疲软,买入美国公债以寻求避险,而这推高了美元。”
分析师在给客户的一份报告中写道:“美国和世界股票市场的涨势也是避险黄金的利空因素。”
分析师说:“由于美国的就业人数仍然相当强劲,人们为了避险目的而转向美元,因此实际上没有充分的理由可以让黄金价格走高。”
但分析师也表示,由于美联储货币政策的不确定性和美国政府再次关闭的可能性,黄金价格维持在关键的每盎司1300美元以上。
分析师说:“黄金仍然非常有韧性,交易价格应在1305美元至1320美元之间,投资者寻找有关贸易谈判、美国政府关闭的消息,以及美国和中国公布的数据,以寻找经济疲软的迹象。”
分析师在一份研究报告中表示,在贸易方面明确和政府关闭之前,黄金价格应保持区间波动。
中美两大经济体正试图在3月1日的截止日期之前敲定一份协议。如果过了这个期限而没有达成协议,美国将把2000亿美元中国输美商品的关税从10%提高到25%。
分析师在研究报告中表示:“当前的贸易紧张局势,以及对全球经济增长趋软的忧虑,继续给金市提供一定支撑。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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