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金价短线疲软,但有因素支撑千三关口

关键词:金价短线疲软

2月7日,现货黄金价格维持低位,因美元指数的持续走高。不过因为全球经济增速放缓,以及市场担心美国政府停摆将再次上演,支撑金价在千三关口。同时澳洲联储可能出现降息,强化全球经济增速的担忧。

全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR gold Trust持仓规模周三连续第四个交易日下跌,反映出投资者短期内对黄金信心不足。

澳洲联储周三(2月6日)为可能的降息打开大门。该央行承认,经济风险正在不断上升。相比其长期以来奉行的紧缩倾向,这显然是态度的重大转变。

澳洲联储的言论被视为一次重大的倒退,强化了市场对全球增速放缓的进一步忧虑,澳元周三暴跌逾1.6%,其他商品货币不同程度走弱,支撑了美元汇率。

美联储上周表示,将对进一步升息保持耐心。而欧洲央行则不太确定,是否会在今年晚些时候开始收紧货币政策。

英国央行周四将公布新一期货币政策,并且似乎可能下调对英国本已疲弱的经济增长预期。这反映出全球不少大型经济体放缓,以及英国脱欧在仅剩的短短50天内前景仍不明朗。

辉立期货(Phillip Futures)的分析师在一份报告中写道:“虽然短期金价疲软,但在地缘政治和经济不确定性加剧的情况下,2019年黄金将展现出不可或缺的避险吸引力。”

由于担心经济增速方放缓、企业盈利令人失望,以及美国政府可能再次关门,标普500指数在连续五个交易日反弹后收低。

分析师表示:“如果美国政府再次关门,将引发人们对经济增长的担忧,这可能会刺激对避险资产的需求。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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