委内瑞拉大事件引发黄金避险
关键词：委内瑞拉
早日，特朗破加大了对委内瑞拉的压力，宣布美国承认瓜伊多为委内瑞拉临时总统，同时表示对石油部门实施的新的制裁行为。美国和委内瑞拉的关系进一步交恶，市场避险情绪提升，黄金获得上涨动能。
就在35岁的委内瑞拉国民议会领袖瓜伊多宣布为国家元首几分钟后，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示正式承认他为委内瑞拉总统，随后加拿大、阿根廷、巴西、哥伦比亚和巴拿马等国家迅速效仿了美国的做法。
委内瑞拉民众走上街头，举行抗议活动支持瓜伊多，马杜罗的压力加大，这次抗议活动是2017年中以来规模最大的一次。虽然两年前左翼政府对暴力抗议活动进行了镇压，但这次其首都较贫困的地区成为愤怒的示威活动主要力量，公共服务跟不上、粮食短缺和物价上涨为抗议对象。当地媒体对大城市聚集的人群进行了报道。
美国国务卿蓬佩奥周三（1月23日）晚间在声明中表示“美国不承认马杜罗政权为委内瑞拉政府。因此，美国认为前总统马杜罗没有与美国断绝外交关系的合法权利，或宣布美国外交官不受欢迎。
就在特朗普发表声明前不久，瓜伊多在加拉加斯一场抗议活动的网络直播中称，他将行使委内瑞拉总统职权。他援引了一项宪法修正案，该修正案允许立法机构领导人执掌过渡期政府，直至举行新的选举。
特朗普上台后不断扩大对马杜罗的经济制裁和谴责，几乎是在鼓动委内瑞拉人民推翻政府。今年以来平均涨幅达25%的委内瑞拉美元债券周三进一步上涨。虽然委内瑞拉大部分债券违约，但投资者认为政权更迭可能会带来修复经济和重组债务的计划。
汇通网分析认为，美国与委内瑞拉两国交恶，将进一步助涨避险情绪。委内瑞拉是一个带有恶性通货膨胀的国家，若该国内外部政治因素不稳，可能加重市场对避险资产黄金的需求。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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