市场聚焦2019第一个非农数据
关键词:2019非农数据
在1月4日,美国将公布12月非农就业人口变动情况以及失业率,这是2019年的第一个非农数据,市场对此有着巨大的关注。同时多位专业分析师对此有着不同的看法和解读。
因元旦假期,原定于北京时间周三(1月2日)21:15公布的美国12月ADP就业人数推迟至北京时间周四(1月3日)21:15公布,该数据素有“小非农”之称。
在美国政府持续停摆的背景下,12月非农数据的公布并未受到影响,在11月非农就业人口大幅减少令人大跌眼镜后,12月非农就业人口可能因圣诞假期零售销售而出现临时性的好转。道明证券分析师表示在悲观的市场信心背景下,预期美国12月非农数据会回升至19万,将被解读为略微积极。
分析师表示,2018年12月非农新增就业人数为18.8万人,不过,去年第四季度美国整体就业小幅下降,随着劳动力市场接近充分就业,且必须应对劳动力供应减少的问题,预计未来的就业增长将更为温和。在美联储12月鸽派加息这一背景下,预计此次非农数据对市场的影响较小。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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