总统遭弹劾成真？市场引发大地震
关键词：总统遭弹劾
市场认为，美国总统特朗普在2019年可能遭到弹劾，如果特朗普被确认犯下了可以被弹劾的罪行。同时美国的政治局势发展已经让市场以及商界感到了明显的紧张情绪。
市场正准备迎接更加艰难的2019年。届时，美联储加息和贸易争端将成为人们最为担忧的两大风险。但是，弹劾特朗普的可能性却很少被讨论，其部分原因是，民主党2019年控制众议院时，是否考虑真的弹劾特朗普还不清楚。
然而，特朗普遭到弹劾并不意味着他会被开除公职。在美国联邦这个层面，这需要启动一个程序。如果能获得众议院的简单多数投票，就可以指控包括总统在内的民事官员犯有“可弹劾”的罪行。这一指控随后将提交参议院，参议院将决定是否对这名官员定罪。
没有说明民主党是否真的会弹劾特朗普，但认为特朗普犯下了可以被弹劾的罪行。除了桃色丑闻，他同时还涉嫌妨碍“通俄门”的调查。据报道，“通俄门”特别检察官穆勒对俄罗斯是否干预2016年美国大选的调查接近尾声。据报道，他最早将于2月中旬向司法部长提交一份报告。
特朗普的贸易政策使美国企业在海外处于不利的地位。比如，他上台没多久就宣布美国退出《跨太平洋战略经济伙伴关系协定》，遭到不少国家的抨击。
美国政局走势无疑将成为2019年的一个焦点，总统特朗普的言论以及去留问题将成为影响金融市场走势的重要因素，投资者需要对此保持关注。特朗普的罪名如果真的得到确定，他真的遭到民主党的弹劾，这无疑将极大地打压美股，也会引发美股地震。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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