中美贸易关系修好,囤积黄金时间到了
关键词:中美关系和好
12月3日,现货黄金价格触及到近日以来的最高点,原因在于中美贸易冲突大幅度缓和,激发了投资者对风险资产的需求,麦元走软。之前中美贸易对抗的时候,强化了美元的避险地位,但近期政治经济事件频发,金价将受到巨大的支撑。
中美两国元首会晤后达成共识,双方停止相互加征新的关税,并将朝着取消所有加征关税的方向,加紧磋商,尽早达成互利双赢的具体协议。
分析师称:“美元日内大幅走低,支撑金价走强。”他并补充道,市场将密切关注美中两国在未来数月内处理双边贸易关系的举动。
在美联储加息的背景下,中美贸易对峙一度强化了美元避险货币的地位,新兴经济体纷纷抛售黄金储备买入美元。
然而美元在上周承压,美联储主席鲍威尔表态称,当前利率仅略低于中性水平。市场因此提升预期,认为美联储距离本轮加息周期终点更近了。鲍威尔将在本周稍晚于国会联合经济委员会就经济前景作证词。
分析师称:“投资者对黄金市场的过度悲观情绪已经散尽,现在是时候囤积黄金了。今年剩余时间内,COMEX期金能够上摸1250美元/盎司。”
分析师表示,若美联储对美国经济增长前景存在疑虑,并且对此向外界表达更为清晰的态度,黄金市场可能迎来新的繁荣。
分析师还认为,近期政治经济领域风险事件频发,诸如英国脱欧、意大利预算危机以及法国巴黎街头的骚乱,金价料受到支撑。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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