经济增长担忧，美联储可能要抽血
关键词：经济增长忧虑
11月26日，现货黄金价格上涨，由于对全球经济增长速度放缓的担忧，以及市场对美国利率的路径不确定性，提振了黄金市场的买多力量。美国联邦公开市场委员会将在稍晚时段公布美联储政策会议的纪要。G20峰会在即，市场聚焦中美局势。
北京时间17:50，现货黄金上浮0.26%至1226.22美元/盎司；COMEX期金主力合约上涨0.27%至1226.6美元/盎司；美元指数下跌0.27%至96.697。
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分析师在一份报告中称：“有关G20峰会越来越大的不安情绪以及达成某种协议的可能性，给金价带来较好支撑。”
上周五(11月23日)，商务部召开新闻发布会，商务部副部长兼国际贸易谈判副代表王受文在发布会上指出，世贸组织正面临三大生存危机，中方支持世贸组织进行必要改革，来恢复或增强其权威性和有效性。
但分析师称，金价近期的走向将基本取决于美元的走势。美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)本周稍晚将公布11月7-8日政策会议纪要，美联储副主席克拉里达(Richard Clarida)将在周二(11月27日)讲话，主席鲍威尔将在周三(11月28日)讲话。
黄金市场已经基本消化了美联储的加息预期，目前市场整体预期，美联储还将于明年加息2-3次。此外，如果明年美国经济成长放缓，美元涨势有望逆转；届时，黄金将受益于对避险资产的需求上升；同时，来自全球央行的买盘可能提供额外支撑。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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