美国税改再起风，美元不断下跌
周四(11月30日)纽约时段，美元指数加速下跌，并跌穿93整数关口，日内累积下跌逾40点。因纽约时报报道，白宫据称计划让中情局局长蓬佩奥(Mike Pompeo)取代国务卿蒂勒森的职位。此外，美国参议院共和党籍议员柯林斯表示，不致力于投票通过税改议案。美国政局动荡再起，税改不确定性加剧，都令美元承压。
据纽约时报报道，白宫据称计划让中情局局长蓬佩奥(Mike Pompeo)取代国务卿蒂勒森的职位。该消息公布后，美元指数加速下跌，并跌穿93整数关口。此前，美国国务卿蒂勒森与总统特朗普之间不和的传闻由来已久。特朗普也曾表示，并不确定蒂勒森是否会继续担任国务卿一职。
此外，鉴于美国参议院就税改议案投票的临近，市场关注度趋于白热化。但目前为止，共和党内大佬麦凯恩为首的部分共和党参议员并没有明确表示将投出赞成票。而共和党在参议院多数优势十分微弱。据分析，共和党需要获得超过50票赞成才能通过参议院版税改议案。
但共和党在参议院仅占52席，意味着最终结果仍有巨大不确定性。最新消息显示，共和党籍参议员柯林斯已表示，不致力于投票通过税改议案。
另据最新消息，美国参议院共和党领袖麦康奈尔表示，参议院美国时间周四深夜将针对许多税改修正案投票，乐观预计参议院共和党人将有足够多的票数来支持批准税改议案。
此外，稍早公布的经济数据显示，美国10月个人支出月率0.3%，与预期持平。而美国10月PCE物价指数年率1.6%，好于预期值1.5%。整体数据显示，美国通胀温和回升，提振美联储加息预期，也使得美债收益率普遍上涨。但对美元提振有限，可见市场目前仍对美国政治风险所造成不确定性有所顾忌。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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