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油价跌跌不休“殃及池鱼”

关键词:油价跌跌不休“殃及池鱼”

本周油市延续自由落体式下跌,布伦特原油期货价格连续六个交易日下跌,周五(12月11日)收跌4.5%至37.93美元/桶,为2008年12月以来最低收盘价。美国原油收在35美元/桶区域,为2009年2月来首次。

周一欧市盘中,美国原油期货价格向下击穿35整数关口,最底触及34.53美元/桶,创自2009年2月19日以来最低水平,随后反弹至35上方。同时,布伦特原油也扩大跌幅,布油跌破37关口,一度下探36.75美元/桶,亦刷新近6年低位。美市盘中,3月美国原油期货价格一度升至3月布伦特原油期货之上,创2010年10月以来最高溢价。

日内,伊朗方面信誓旦旦称要增加原油出口,让市场愈加猜测石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国会使得全球供给过剩的现象恶化,这也对油价构成了下行压力。

另外,俄罗斯仍不愿减产,称天气太恶劣,这会使重启油井很困难。

油价的大跌也刺激了加元和卢布等石油相关货币。美元/加元日内最高上探1.3779,刷新近11年半高位。美元/卢布一度升至71.19,创4个月高位。

此外,由于原油价格的持续暴跌,这可能使得英国央行对通胀的担忧即将成为现实。

英国统计局周三或宣布,在截至10月份的3个月中,英国基础薪资涨幅可能从一个月前的2.5%降至2.3%,创下一季度以来最弱水平。报告或许还将显示,英国失业率维持在5.3%不变,追平9月份创下的七年多来最低水平。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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