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英国10月制造业PMI飙升

关键词:英国10月制造业PMI飙升

周一欧市盘中,英镑贸易加权指数触及10周以来的高点,因之前公布的英国10月制造业活动指数意外飙升至16个月高位,表明今年四季度英国经济增长料加快步伐。

受益于出口订单反弹,英国10月Markit/CIPS制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)从9月份的51.8跳升至55.5,创16个月高位,远高于经济学家的最高预估值52.5。

这个数据说明英国经济无视来自新兴市场的逆风,并维持住了部分动力。数据同时也巩固了英国央行一些官员的观点,即英国经济已经强劲到可以容忍近期再度加息。

Markit称,该调查显示,英国经济第四季增速有望比第三季增速快一倍,不过许多经济学家在等待周三服务业调查报告出炉,以期获得有关经济复苏情况的更完整景象。

“调查结果与经济按季增长约1%的情况相符,这较前几个月有很大改善,”Markit的资深经济分析师Rob Dobson说。“海外销售重振活力是最新报告中尤为鼓舞人心的点,帮助打消了有关全球经济正在下降的顾虑,对未来前景来说是个好兆头。”

近几个月,对中国经济和其他新兴市场放缓的担忧给全球经济蒙上阴影。投资者因此推后了对主要央行升息的预期。但周一的调查显示,新出口订单分项指数升至2014年8月以来最高位。

调查还显示,英国10月制造业产出分项指数升至58.3,再次刷新了16个月高位,制造业的新接订单指数升至56.9,创2014年7月以来最高。

在强劲的PMI数据公布之后,英镑/美元持续飙升,一度升至1.5497,为11日以来的最高。英镑贸易加权指数则升至10周以来的高位93.50。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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