中国央行美元外汇储备少了3000多亿
关键字:中国央行美元外汇储备少了3000多亿
有报道说,最近美元外汇储备有下降,在过去一年里,外汇储备从3.99万亿美元降到了3.65万亿美元,大数降了3000亿美元,那这3000亿美元是不是就是资本流出呢?以下是来自中国人民银行关于完善人民币兑美元汇率中间价报价会议的分析讲述。
一、去年以来,我们境内居民和企业在境内银行的美元存款大幅度增加,去年大数增加了1080亿,今年上半年大概增加了700多亿美元。实际上境内的企业和居民在境内银行系统美元存款的增加,是一种藏汇于民。以前外汇储备都集中在官方,集中在央行,现在有一部分转到企业的美元存款和居民的美元存款上了,这是一个好的现象。这说明企业和居民都很聪明,他们都在调整他们的资产负债表,他们的资产负债美元和人民币币种的匹配,使未来风险更小,这是一个好事。
二、最近国有企业、民营企业等各种企业走出去的步伐很大,对外投资力度很大,所谓ODI,我们还有一带一路的建设,有些投资也用了一部分美元。
三、美元少了3000多亿,大家别忘了还有一个汇率的变化,这一年以来欧元和日元等其他货币兑美元都贬值了很多,我们的外汇储备是一个分散化的外汇储备,有美元、有欧元,有日元,我们报告的是美元,美元是我们的报告货币,我们告诉你我们现在有3.7万亿美元的外汇储备,我报告的是美元,但实际上欧元、日元兑美元贬值了以后,折成美元就少了一块。总体而言,我观察到的中国的国际收支,就是你所说的资本流动,应该是在一个正常范围内的。如果大家分析一下中国的经济结构,大家就会对这个事理解的更深。现在每年企业进出口几万亿美元,投资是一个大数,FDI、ODI都是一个大数。每年我们有超过一亿人要出境,这些都需要外汇。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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