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美国通胀低迷令美联储陷入两难境地

关键字:美国通胀低迷令美联储陷入两难境地

据路透社报道,美国上周初请失业金人口降至近15年低位,表明尽管经济成长在首季大幅放缓后反弹乏力,但就业市场仍在稳步改善。

尽管劳动力供应收紧,但美元走强和油价回落使通胀继续受压。低通胀以及第二季初经济成长温和的迹象暗示,美国联邦储备理事会(FED/美联储)可能要等待今年晚些时候才升息。

“就业市场表现良好,通胀短期内不会攀升。美联储开始收紧货币政策的迫切性不高,他们可能会等到9月再升息,”Moody’s Analytics的高级分析师Ryan Sweet表示。

美国劳工部周四报告称,截至5月9日当周,美国初请失业金人口减少1,000人,经季节性调整后为26.4万人,逼近两周前触及的15年低位。

初请失业金人口连续第10周处于30万这一关键水准之下。分析师之前的预期为初请失业金人口增至27.5万人。

上周初请失业金人口四周移动均值降至2000年4月以来最低。市场认为,这项指标消除了周与周之间的波动,能更准确地反应就业市场状况。

数据公布后,美国股市上扬。公债价格也攀升,但美元指数走低。

劳工部今日公布的另一项数据显示,4月最终需求生产者物价指数(PPI)下降0.4%,因能源产品和食品成本下降。

这是PPI年内第三个月回落,3月为增长0.2%。

4月PPI还受零售商和批发商利润率下降拖累。上月PPI同比下降1.3%,为2010年以来最大按年降幅,3月为回落0.8%。

“尽管就业市场供应进一步收紧,但通胀完全受控,使联储的决策变得复杂化,”Naroff Economic Advisers的首席分析师Joel Naroff表示,“尽管还不需要马上采取行动,但联储必须时刻准备着。”

分析师之前预计,4月PPI按月下降0.2%,同比回落0.8%。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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