目前纸黄金会涨吗,可以长期持有?
关键词:目前纸黄金会涨吗,可以长期持有?
黄金投资产品是目前最受欢迎的投资产品之一,而国内规范合法的黄金投资除了实物黄金外,只有黄金TD和纸黄金,而一些朋友因为担忧交易杠杆带来的风险过大,其更多会选择纸黄金。昨日国际金价出现了较大的涨幅,目前市场一片向好,那么纸黄金是不是也会涨呢?可不可以长期持有呢?
从目前市场现状来看,基本面对黄金构成的利好因素较大,这很可能会提振市场对黄金的需求增加,从而引起黄金买盘托单,继续推高国际金价,而纸黄金的的价格在一定程度上会受到国际金价的影响,从而得到提振。下面来看看有哪些消息利好黄金。
1、黄金ETF持仓增加
据10月14日最新数据显示,全球最大的黄金ETF基金增加了7.74吨的持仓量。
2、美元遭经济数据连击 升息困难重重
美国9月零售销售月率微增0.1%,升幅低于预期的0.2%。8月零售销售被下修至持平,前值为增长0.2%。
美国生产者物价指数月率下滑0.5%,创1月份来最大降幅,此前市场预期为下滑0.2%,8月份为持平。9月PPI年率下挫1.1%,连降第八个月,8月同比降幅为0.8%。
美联储周三发布的褐皮书指出,美国经济自8月中到10月初适度增长,几乎不存在通胀压力,强势美元让制造业和旅游业承压。
美国疲弱的数据进一步表明,面对全球增长放缓,美元走强以及油价回落抑制能源行业资本支出等诸多阻力,美国经济增长动能正逐步减弱。这可能促使美联储决策者推迟加息,直至他们看到美国需求改善和通胀风险出现的迹象。
3、人民币贬值 中国经济数据欠佳
本周公布的中国经济数据不佳,使得市场对中国经济增速放缓的担忧进一步加深,同时使得市场对中国央行进一步降息降准的预期升温,这或许会刺激国内民众对黄金的避险保值需求,从而提振国内金价。
具体数据显示,9月以人民币计价的出口同比下降1.1%,进口同比降17.7%;而8月分别为下降6.1%和14.3%。另外,9月居民消费品价格指数年率1.6%,低于前值2%,且不及预期1.8%。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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