摩根大通预计人民币汇率2014年底升至6.15
关键字：摩根大通、人民币汇率
国际投行摩根大通中国首席经济学家朱海斌本周三表示，由于明显单边升值趋势不再有而双向波动趋势增多，将2014年底人民币兑美元的汇率预测由此前的6.05调整为6.15，将2015调整为6.10。
该行认为，近期的人民币贬值并不意味着已经转变为一种贬值趋势。人民币仍有适度升值的空间。由于人民币在短期内仍将走软，资本流入将继续下降。反过来，主要由总体外汇储备积累驱动的储备货币增长将会放慢。在这种情景下，存款准备金率下调将能证明有助于提高货币乘数以保持M2货币供应稳定增长（2014年M2货币增长官方目标为13%）。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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