美国第四季GDP环比增长有望至3.2%
关键字：美国第四季GDP
路透华盛顿1月28日 – 家庭支出与出口的增长可能为第四季美国经济带来很大程度的提振，从而为今年经济更强劲成长奠定基础。
路透调查分析师预计，美国第四季国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率料为增长3.2%。尽管这一速度相对第三季的4.1%来说略有回落，但预计成长构成因素会更为健康。
经济增长的更多因素应会来自最终需求，受仓库库存积累的拉动则降低，尽管预计库存也会进一步增加。
“消费者支出是强有力支撑因素之一。另一个则是库存方面，”Wells Fargo Securities资深分析师Sam Bullard表示。
第三季度，库存增加1,157亿美元，为GDP增长贡献1.67个百分点，许多分析师预计第四季出售那些库存会将把GDP增速拉到2%以下。
但消费者支出增加，使得第三季补充库存显得有先见之明。
“许多人原以为会以相同的幅度摆向另一侧。实际证明并不是这样，”Bullard。
预计消费者支出是推动第四季经济成长的主要因素，但贸易与企业投资等其它领域也会支撑整体经济。
商务部周四1330GMT将公布第四季GDP初值，就在美联储结束两日会议之后。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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