王垣鑫：聯儲理事支持大幅加息，金價出現進一步下滑
昨日早間亞盤開盤後金價小幅走高至1734附近位置，隨後開啟日內大幅下跌行情，在歐盤時段觸及1710一線位置後，價格雖短暫放緩跌勢但美盤開盤後進一步將日內低點刷新至1697附近，不過由於下方支撐效果較為明顯，目前金價出現反彈重新回到1710一線上方進行交投。
美聯儲理事站隊大幅加息
週三公佈的資料顯示，美國6月消費者物價同比躍升9.1%，創40多年來最大增幅，隨後，交易員們加大了對美聯儲將更快加息的押注。不過，對加息100個基點的押注有所降低，此前美聯儲理事沃勒表示，他支持在本月晚些時候的政策會議上再次加息75個基點，但如果新資料顯示需求放緩的速度不足以推動通脹回落，他將傾向於更大規模的加息。
7月美聯儲加息100基點概率驟降
週三公佈的資料顯示，美國6月CPI年率未季調為9.1%，創40多年來最大增幅，隨後，交易員們加大了對美聯儲將更快加息的押注。不過，對美聯儲加息100個基點的押注有所降低。此前美聯儲理事沃勒表示，他支持在本月晚些時候的政策會議上再次加息75個基點，但如果新資料顯示需求放緩的速度不足以推動通脹回落，他將傾向於更大規模的加息。聯邦基金利率期貨市場目前預計，加息100個基點的可能性為31%，稍早為70%左右，加息75個基點的可能性為69%。
昨日金價進一步延續此前的回落走勢，日線方面錄得大實體陰線K線形態。雖然短時間內下方仍能看到支撐的效果，但日線級別MACD指標雙線在0軸下方持續死叉下行表示下跌過程仍未結束。接下來繼續關注日線MA5均線對金價的壓制效果，這是後市價格延續下跌趨勢的關鍵壓力所在。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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