王垣鑫：英国央行意外加息，黄金强势反弹冲上1800
经过长时间低位震荡过程之后，昨日凌晨价格下破回踩1753一线后持续反弹。反弹走势在亚盘开盘后得到延续，欧盘时段价格测试1788-1790区间未能成功突破，但美盘开盘后多头开始发力，金价短时间内直接大涨近20美元幅度，直接站上1790一线上方，目前有成功突破1800整数关口的迹象。
欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话
欧洲央行行长拉加德称，欧洲央行不太可能在2022年加息。少数几名成员不同意一揽子计划的某些部分。不需要修改资产购买计划（APP）的任何形式或规模。紧急抗疫购债计划（PEPP）的重启需要管委会作出决定。通胀前景可能面临上行风险，将在2022年大部分时间高于2%，但中期通胀将继续低于目标，长期通胀预期接近2%；上调2021-23年通胀预期。疫情防控措施可能会推迟经济复苏，奥密克戎变异毒株对经济影响还有待评估。拉加德预计供应瓶颈将伴随一段时间，应该在2022年会得到缓解。
英国意外央行加息引发企业界不满
英国央行12月决议意外加息15个基点至0.25%，但维持购债规模不变。英国央行表示，有可能会在一定程度上“温和收紧”货币政策。奥密克戎可能进一步提高通胀压力，并影响明年一季度经济。预计英国通胀率可能4月份在6%左右见顶。将第四季度GDP预期下修0.5个百分点英国企业界警告称，新的防疫限制措施让他们应接不暇，英国央行在此时做出了加息决定，将推升成本并可能抑制投资。此举将使英国国债年度偿付额立即增加13亿英镑（17亿美元），并影响200多万有抵押贷款的家庭。
昨日金价大幅反弹，日线录得大阳线实体K线形态，MACD指标双线金叉开口，价格的大幅拉高也令日线MA5均线开始向上拐头，不过在KDJ指标走高的情况下日内价格跳空高开，需要提防出现回踩确认支撑的情况。日内四小时级别MACD指标双线金叉过程重新回到0轴上方区域，暗示后市价格有望进一步走强，但KDJ指标三线处于高位，白天时间内需要重点留意MA5均线的支撑力度，一旦跌破MA5则可视为日内回调过程的开启信号。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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