王垣鑫：誰都不服！多空雙方拉鋸千八關口
昨日早間金價回踩1794一線位置後震盪上行，但歐盤開盤後價格未能站穩1800整數關口自1804一線重新回落至1796附近位置，日內剩餘時間基本以橫盤震盪走勢為主。雖然美盤時段價格震盪幅度增大至1792-1810，但截至目前為止價格仍沒有站穩1800的跡象，目前于整數關口下方有出現回落的跡象。
歐洲央行10月決議維持利率和購債規模總量不變
歐洲央行表示，市場對加息的押注與央行前瞻指引不符；加息條件顯然不滿足。通脹上升階段將比預期持續得更久，但相信“通脹是暫時的”是正確的觀點。歐元區繼續強勁復蘇，經濟風險大致平衡。放緩PEPP的購買速度並不是縮債。供應緊縮、能源價格對近期的經濟前景構成風險。
美國第三季度經濟大幅減速
美國三季度實際GDP年化季環比初值增長2%，預期為2.6%，經濟增長放緩程度超過預期，並降至從疫情中開始復蘇以來的最低水準，因供應鏈動盪和新冠肺炎確診病例增加抑制了支出和投資。資料凸顯出前所未有的供應鏈壓力正在抑制美國經濟。由於生產商人手不足，並且缺乏必要的材料，導致其難以滿足消費者的需求。服務企業也面臨類似壓力，並且還因新冠病毒德爾塔毒株的傳播而雪上加霜。
近期金價低位反彈走勢明顯放緩，價格多次向上衝擊未能成功突破10月22日的1814一線高點，甚至在大部分時間內價格基本處在1800整數關口的下方，雖然日線MACD指標雙線目前仍維持金叉運行過程，但價格多次上攻失敗或暗示後市回落幾率正不斷增大。
日內四小時MACD指標雙線有死叉變盤的跡象，暗示日內或有進一步回落的空間，白天時間可以留意一下MA5均線的壓制效果。下方要重點關注1780-1782區間支撐，一旦跌破該位置，後市或將有機會重新回落至1750-1760區間內。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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