王垣鑫：暴漲！金價踩穩頸線能否續寫多頭傳奇
本週二金價從1724一線重新拉起，雖然短時間內仍未能站穩1740一線關鍵位置，但昨天早間金價經過一段時間橫盤震盪整理過程後開始向上發力。歐盤時段價格就已經回到了前天的起跌位置1748一線附近，晚間美盤金價進一步走高，最高一度觸及1770附近刷新近2個月以來的新高，雖然後市價格自高位有所回落，但目前仍處於1760附近高位，表現相對強勢。
縮減購債時機仍未到來
三藩市聯儲主席戴利週四表示，美國經濟距離向美聯儲設定的2%通脹和充分就業目標取得“實質性進展”還很遠，遠未到需要美聯儲減少對經濟支持的時候。戴利表示，“我們還沒有到那一步”，並指出仍有數百萬美國人失業，儘管物價料在未來數月暫時上漲，但通脹仍“遠”未持續性地達到美聯儲的目標。戴利表示，她預計今年下半年經濟活動將大幅反彈，明年增長將放緩，並警告不要對強勁的經濟資料反應過度。
梅斯特樂觀看待經濟前景
美國克利夫蘭聯儲主席梅斯特週四表示，在企業努力應對供應鏈干擾、價格從疫情早期觸及的低位反彈之際，近期通脹資料正在上升，但隨著時間推移，這些挑戰得到解決，價格增長可能會放緩。梅斯特在一次線上活動中表示並不太擔心通脹升得太高，通脹預期小幅上升並不令人擔憂，因為這些預期一直低於美聯儲的目標。她預計美國經濟今年將增長6%或更多，失業率到年底將降至4.5%或更低。
金價回踩日線級別雙底形態頸線位置後再度破高，令日線MACD指標雙線重新向上打開，暗示雙底形態有確認成功的跡象後市價格有望進一步走高，不過短時間內我們仍需要留意日線MA5均線的支撐確認情況，若確認成功後市價格有望完成雙底形態剩下的上漲幅度進一步往1800整數關口進發。
而四小時級別方面，在本周初金價拉高回落後昨日金價出現破高，目前MACD指標雙線已經發出金叉信號，暗示短時間內有形成新一輪上行走勢的跡象，今日亞歐盤時段留意1755-1760區間的支撐。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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