王垣鑫：日本央行決議前夕，金價保持寬幅震盪
關鍵字：現貨黃金，日本央行
本周現貨黃金開盤一路走高，但不敵1813美元/盎司一線壓力，短暫震盪後周二跳空低開。雖然週二白天時間主要以震盪回落為主，並跌破1800美元/盎司整數關口，但價格在觸及1790美元/盎司一線後迅速反彈。短暫測試後直接重新站上1800美元/盎司上方，目前價格正位於1810美元/盎司壓力下方橫盤整理。
日本央行料將維穩
今日11:00日本央行將公佈利率決議，可能考慮在其主要政策工具上按兵不動，並且不對其經濟前景做出大的調整。央行官員在保持高度戒備的同時，希望繼續密切監視日本央行自3月以來為應對疫情造成的經濟衝擊所實施措施的影響。
消息人士透露，日本央行本周將保持貨幣政策不變，並對經濟前景保持謹慎樂觀的態度，暗示日本央行已經採取了足夠的措施來緩解新冠病毒大流行造成的打擊。日本央行可能會略微下調其對截至2021年3月的當前年度經濟增長的預測，但將堅持隨著疫情減弱，日本經濟將在今年晚些時候溫和復蘇的看法。
現貨黃金寬幅震盪
雖然本周初現貨黃金多頭看似坎坷，但從周線級別上看，金價目前仍處於震盪上行過程當中。ma5支撐均線于價格下方提供支撐，均線簇呈多頭排列，暗示目前多頭掌控趨勢。加上macd指標雙線金叉向上運行，不排除金價將在短時間內再度刷新高點。
但kdj指標三線走高超買，也能看出ma5支撐均線的重要性，可以跌破ma5均線為回檔開啟的信號。日內價格暫時震盪于1810美元/盎司下方，建議留意1800-1810區間，以區間突破方向為參考，上看再度測試1818-1820區間，下看1790-1793區間支撐。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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