王垣鑫：利率決議前夕，金價或將保持震盪
關鍵字：美聯儲，現貨黃金
現貨黃金價格經過一輪震盪反彈過程後，昨日晚間于1720美元/盎司一線受阻。短時間內金價多頭暫無進一步戰果，現階段價格於1710-1720區間內震盪整理。金價在短暫虛破1700美元/盎司整數關口後，反彈承壓前方起跌壓力區間，需注意現時震盪下行走勢仍未被破壞，後市仍有延續下跌趨勢的可能。
美聯儲6月利率決議在即
市場目前關注北京時間6月11日02：00的美聯儲利率決議，以及02：30的鮑威爾新聞發佈會。美聯儲將在多大程度上披露其未來意圖，以及對其對經濟的看法如何，可能是本周為期兩天的會議關鍵，這一系列結果很有可能會影響市場走勢。
由於相比之前的任何一位美聯儲主席，鮑威爾已經採取了更多的行動，速度也都要更快。而且，美聯儲已將基準利率降至接近零的水準，並宣佈了多項計畫，以幫助市場和經濟的不同領域。所以，市場預計本次美聯儲不會對利率或政策採取任何行動。
1710-1720成關鍵方向選擇區間
短時間內金價反彈受阻于1720美元/盎司一線，但從日線級別上看，震盪區間為1670-1750，目前仍處於區間中部位置。雖目前macd指標雙線有金叉跡象，但鑒於整體為寬幅震盪，未來金價方向仍需以區間突破方向為參考。
而在區間內，金價目前處於1710-1720位置，雖然短時間內macd指標雙線處於死叉過程當中，但晚間將公佈美聯儲利率決議，按以往歷史行情來看，美盤前保持區間震盪的概率較大。建議歐盤時段保持震盪思路，留意美盤美聯儲動態，一旦成功向上突破並站穩1720美元/盎司一線，後市將再度測試日線震盪區間上軌壓力。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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