王垣鑫:歐盟或出臺新一輪刺激方案,黃金延續回落過程
關鍵字:歐盟刺激方案,現貨黃金
昨日現貨黃金價格早間開盤後震盪走高,但上方1735美元/盎司一線壓力效果良好,價格承壓回落後展開回落趨勢,日內剩餘時間均在震盪回落中度過,淩晨時分回落趨勢放緩,截止至目前為止,金價維持1708-1716區間內震盪整理。
歐盟或出爐新一輪抗疫刺激方案
歐盟委員會將在今日公佈新一輪與新冠疫情全球大流行有關的刺激方案。根據德法兩國政府的提案,這筆資金料將用於支援醫療保健工作,以及扶持旅遊業在內的整個歐元區經濟。此外作為歐盟2021-2027預算的補充,這筆資金將以贈款形式支援受疫情打擊的部門和地區,意味著被援助的成員國無需償還現金,債務責任將被納入歐盟預算。
高盛集團指出,復蘇基金提案應該會暫時緩解歐洲經濟貨幣聯盟的主權債務息差壓力,同時也會限制歐元立即貶值的壓力。如果歐盟在德法提案的基礎上以立法程式制定新的刺激計畫,可能代表著該地區朝著更大力度的政政策協調邁出了很重要的一步,並且會讓歐元兌美元變得更具競爭力。同時,歐洲股市也可能從中漁利,即將到來的刺激計畫料將為受新冠疫情影響的企業提供支援,並幫助實現數位化和環境轉型。
現貨黃金價格震盪回落
前段時間金價持續在日線級別三角形震盪區間內運行,價格在突破後出現短時間沖高走勢,但此過程未能得到延續,金價在1765美元/盎司一線承壓後持續回落。昨天金價更是跌穿1720美元/盎司一線整數支撐關口,並在今日進一步下探並測試1710美元/盎司一線整數關口支撐效果。
雖然下方已經面臨前方三角形震盪區間上軌支撐,但目前macd指標雙線仍在死叉過程當中,整體形式難言樂觀。短時間內需注意kdj指標走低所帶來的調整需求,留意其是否能帶動金價出現一定幅度的反彈。不過,現階段5日線已經向下拐頭形成壓力,日內留意1720-1725區間反壓效果。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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