王垣鑫：市場關注疫苗進展，黃金收復1750關口
關鍵字：美國經濟，現貨黃金
本周開盤金價一路高歌猛進僅在週一亞盤就已經站上1760美元/盎司一線，但隨後漲勢有所放緩，並在晚間迅速跳水，在收回日內漲幅後進一步回落至1727美元/盎司一線，在昨日金價在歐盤短暫刷新低點後金價迎來反彈，雖歐盤尾段時間仍承壓於1740美元/盎司一線，但美盤時段多頭進一步發力，震盪上行走勢一直維持至今日淩晨，今日亞盤價格再度拉高收復1750美元/盎司一線。
美國經濟低迷恐持續
美國國會預算辦公室預計，今年第二季度，經通脹調整後的實際GDP將收縮11%，相當於以年率計算下降38%，為歷史最大跌幅。同時，二季度就業人數將比2019年第四季度減少近2600萬，三季度的失業率將達到頂峰15.8%。該辦公室預計今年晚些時候該國的工作崗位將會增加，但總體形勢將維持低迷狀態至2021年。
另外，美銀5月份的基金經理調查顯示，超過三分之二的專業投資者對“美股跳脫3月份低點是新牛市的開始”持懷疑態度。美國國會預算辦公室發佈以上預測後，疊加疫情進展遭懷疑，美股果然很快出現回調。
疫苗相關進展主導金價
昨日因市場質疑候選新冠疫苗的有效性，提振現貨黃金價格低位反彈，多數分析將疫情二次爆發的風險視為短期最大的風險，因此近期疫情相關進展的消息或將成為影響黃金走向的關鍵因素。
技術面上，本周雖金價出現沖高回落，但整體仍維持於周線級別ma5支撐均線上方，且目前均線簇仍呈多頭排列，macd指標雙線仍在金叉過程當中，暗示當前上漲走勢依然存在，配合日線級別上破三角震盪區間，1720-1725區間成多頭防守密集區，日內留意1740一線支撐，本周上方主要關注1765附近壓力。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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