王垣鑫：美國面臨經濟蕭條風險，現貨黃金持續三角震盪
關鍵字：現貨黃金，美國經濟
昨日現貨黃金價格自亞盤開盤後震盪走高，于歐盤尾端時間收回1705美元/盎司一線跌幅，雖美盤開盤前出現一定幅度回落，但價格于前方低位窄幅震盪區間頂部找到支撐，迅速拉升並破高，但1710美元/盎司一線壓力效果良好，價格承壓回落再度測試低位震盪區間頂部支撐，今日亞盤現貨黃金價格主要交投於1700-1705區間內。
三位美聯儲官員警告經濟風險
聖路易斯聯儲主席布拉德昨日在視頻講話中稱，如果防疫封鎖持續下去，將看到企業大規模倒閉，並伴隨有經濟陷入蕭條的風險。 明尼阿波利斯聯儲主席卡什卡利警告稱，從疫情中走出來的經濟將會“逐步且緩慢地復蘇”。另外，達拉斯聯儲主席卡普蘭表示，如果失業率繼續上升，經濟將需要更多的財政刺激措施。
美聯儲在3月中旬將利率降至接近零，並推出了前所未有的貸款計畫，以緩解疫情帶來的衝擊。即便如此，布拉德仍警告稱，本季度經濟產出可能下降約40%，並補充說政府讓企業暫時停業的命令是不可持續的。
現貨黃金震盪或面臨突破
近段時間現貨黃金價格一直處在日線級別三角形震盪區間內運行，而震盪區間已經從最初的1660-1746，收窄至1680-1720，價格甚至還不能完全觸碰區間上下軌，出現此現象通常暗示著價格即將在短時間內大概率出現突破動作，這或將成為後市趨勢方向的重要參考依據。
而周線方面此前支撐金價上漲的ma5均線已經到位，但受日線三角形震盪趨勢的影響，本周金價並未出現可觀幅度的波動，並且價格圍繞ma5支撐均線運行，也再次證實了後市日線級別三角形震盪突破方向的突破性，即一旦向上突破，則後市周線ma5均線支撐效果有望繼續生效並支撐價格上漲；一旦向下突破，則跌穿周線ma5支撐均線，暗示前段時間漲勢或告一段落，後市大幾率要進行一波回檔。短時間內，穩健建議先放下長期思路，關注日線震盪區間的突破方向。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.