王垣鑫：現貨黃金承壓1750一線，後市需留意日線均線支撐
現貨黃金價格經過前天一天時間的震盪過程後，昨日歐盤金價多頭開始發力，金價從1710美元/盎司一線在7個小時內，直接上攻1747美元/盎司一線，但隨後未能有效站穩，價格迅速回落至1730美元/盎司下方，目前1720美元/盎司一線位置支撐效果良好，現貨黃金價格暫時於1720-1730間震盪整理。
2020年全球經濟萎縮
昨日國際貨幣基金組織表示由於公共衛生事件衝擊導致經濟活動停擺，預計2020年全球經濟將萎縮3.0%，這將成為自1930年代大蕭條以來最嚴重的經濟滑坡，目前全球累計確診病例數已近200萬例，這迫使各國實施停擺措施，並促使央行出臺支持舉措。
另外有分析指出到目前為止，黃金的走勢一直相當動盪，但是鑒於宏觀背景，黃金價格的目的地或仍然在更高的位置，同時ETF持倉數據顯示，週一持倉增加1.6%至1009.70噸，達到2013年6月以來最高水準，反映出投資者對黃金的興趣。
金價失去短期均線支撐
從盤面上看，金價沖高回落走勢過後，1h級別裏面macd指標並未能跟隨價格破高，目前處於頂背離狀態，暗示短時間內金價震盪上漲趨勢或將出現轉折；4h級別方面自上周四起支撐價格一路上行的ma5均線支撐目前也已經被跌破，伴隨ma5均線開始拐頭向下形成壓力，加之此前一直維持高位鈍化運行的kdj指標也死叉下行，均表明這一波小級別上行過程已經告一段落，接下來將進入一輪回調走勢。
鑒於目前日線級別仍處於ma5支撐均線上方，且ma5均線支撐距離現價較遠，該級別趨勢未被破壞但均線對價格有拉回作用的情況下，日內回調位置建議暫時先留意1700美元/盎司附近位置，若站穩短時間內還有機會進一步刷新高點。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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