王垣鑫：奧運會推遲重創日本經濟，金價收復失地或仍需時日
現貨黃金昨日亞盤開盤後延續反彈走勢，雖然在歐盤前有所回落但隨後迅速走高，漲勢一直延續至今日亞盤開盤，整體漲幅達84美元，今日亞盤開盤後出現30美元幅度回落，但整體仍交投於1600美元/盎司一線上方，另外金價這一輪反彈過程總幅度已經達到190美元，已經收回自1700上方回落的過半失地。
東京奧運會推遲舉辦
據最新消息顯示，國際奧會和日本首相安倍晉三同意不取消奧運會，隨即國際奧會與東京奧組委發表聯合聲明，確認東京2020奧運會將推遲至2021年舉辦，意味著在現代奧林匹克124年的歷史中，本屆東京奧運會成為首屆在和平年代未能如期舉辦的奧運會，也是受公共衛生事件衝擊而影響的全球最大活動。
推遲舉辦奧運會對已經為此準備了7年時間的日本造成了巨大的經濟損失。有報導稱延期舉辦帶來的直接經濟損失將超過3萬億日元，導致市場擔憂情緒加劇，加之隔夜歐美股市大漲，道指暴力拉升逾11%，削弱日元避險買需，美元兌日元後市料有進一步上升空間。
現貨黃金暴力反彈
本周兩個交易日金價持續大幅反彈，僅兩天反彈幅度已經達到140美元，本輪反彈一方面由於美元指數放緩漲勢出現高位回落，另一方面市場不確定性和持續的流動性注入亦提振金價。
日內由於支撐均線仍未到位，導致反彈走勢有所放緩，雖然日線級別方面macd指標已經出現金叉信號，但kdkj指標走高，配合價格與均線的乖離，價格超買或有回調需求；另外周線級別方面macd指標正處於頂背離狀態當中，價格若想直接拉高突破高點仍缺少了ma5均線的支撐，料短時間內仍將出現反復過程，先留意1600一線防守情況。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.