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王垣鑫:現貨黃金短時間站穩,避險之王能否元神歸位

近段時間由於受到公共衛生事件的影響,全球經濟受到直接衝擊,美股更是出現了一週三次熔斷的情況,美聯儲兩度緊急降息利率已降至0%-0.25%,曾經為避險之王的黃金價格連續下跌時間達一周以上,最高下跌幅度達250美元,白銀價格更是創出了十年新低,在如此嚴峻的環境底下,美元指數大幅反彈,收復2月下旬以來跌幅,重新回歸周線上升通道,或成為目前資金避險唯一歸屬地。

王垣鑫:現貨黃金短時間站穩,避險之王能否元神歸位

歐盟採取關閉邊境措施

德國總理默克爾與其他領導人舉行視頻會議後表示,限制赴歐洲大陸的大部分旅行的措施將適用於所有非歐盟公民,初步預計將持續30天,將採取一切必要措施以遏制疫情,並準備應對非常嚴重的經濟影響。這一系列措施在幾周前對於西方民主國家來講還是非常難以想像的事情,但這一系列舉措對於已經離開歐盟的英國來講並不適用,不過英國已經建議國民避免不必要的旅行,而且隨著航班的取消,往返英國和歐洲大陸基本難以實現。

王垣鑫:現貨黃金短時間站穩,避險之王能否元神歸位

黃金價格短暫站穩

隨著昨日現貨黃金價格的大幅反彈,一舉突破4h級別ma5及ma10兩道主要壓力均線,並形成雙底形態短時間內結束小級別下跌走勢,但需要注意日線方面均線仍不具備任何支撐效果,且周線MACD指標明顯頂背離,短時間反彈或是由於周線ma5均線拉回作用,後市大級別反彈是否能因小級別反彈而開展,或是大級別周線均線壓力到位後,金價是否會因承壓而進一步打開下行空間仍不確定,因此暫時不建議作太多中長期思路操作,現階段以小級別趨勢為主要思路參考或較為理想,周內下方關注1508-1518區間支撐,上方留意1560-1590區間壓力。

 


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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