王垣鑫：股市料將短暫進入熊市，黃金大幅回落然多心未泯
上周現貨黃金價格在周初於低位拉起後，剩餘時間一直保持震盪走高走勢，周內直接收回2月24號-2月29號的127美元回落幅度，雖然隨後價格立刻承壓，但最終收盤價格基本與高點相差無幾，本周開盤金價直接跳空高開上1700美元/盎司整數關口上方，但並未能有效站穩，金價連續兩天回落，目前交投於1657美元/盎司一線位置。
高盛預計股市將強勁反彈
受公共衛生事件影響，加之原油價格戰爭全面打響，本周美國三大股指大幅下滑，創下自2008年金融危機以來的最大跌幅，美股開盤市值蒸發3萬億美元，觸發1987年“黑色星期一”崩盤後設立的熔斷機制，為23年來首次熔斷，道指開盤後不久一度狂瀉2000點，盤中一度跌至距離確認進入熊市區間僅約0.1個百分點的水準，最終標普500指數收盤較2月19日創下的歷史高點下跌約19%。
金融市場遭遇“黑色星期一”，歐美股市更是“史詩般慘案”，義大利、德國、西班牙、法國和英國等多個國家的股市基準指數悉數跌進熊市，不過高盛集團的策略師們預計，股市將從2008年金融危機以來最嚴重的拋售中強勁反彈，但是在此之前首先還需要經歷進一步的下跌過程，預計將從峰值水準下跌20%至25%。
本周金價沖高後持續回落
本周金價連續兩天走低，在沖高至1700美元/盎司一線上方後，最大回落幅度一度達到62美元，更是直接跌破上周一直支撐金價收回127美元回落幅度的5日均線，雖然本周價格回落幅度較大，但從周線上看目前金價仍在ma5支撐均線上方，且macd指標雙線仍在金叉過程當中，只要價格仍在ma5支撐均線上方，證明趨勢仍在多方掌控當中，短時間內看金價出頭恐怕還為時過早，現階段金價支撐關注重點將位於1625-1630區間內。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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