王垣鑫：美聯儲緊急降息助攻 黃金反彈之勢愈漲愈烈
雖然上周現貨黃金收盤前大幅回落，但因公共衛生事件影響的不斷擴大，市場對全球經濟的擔憂情緒一直較為濃厚，本周金價空頭並未能跌破1560美元/盎司一線，以進一步打開回落空間，轉而開始止跌反彈，昨日晚間美聯儲緊急降息50基點更是狠狠的助攻了一把，金價在短時間內大幅拉高36美元，今日亞盤開盤後短暫延續反彈走勢，雖觸及上周五起跌位置後有所承壓，但整體仍在高位徘徊。
美聯儲緊急降息或只是開始
昨日晚間美聯儲以公共衛生事件構成不斷變化的風險為由，緊急下調基準利率50基點，消息公佈後，美元指數即刻出現反應大幅下挫近60點，創出1月8日以來的新低至96.92，同時美股三大指數大幅反彈後快速回落。
同時美聯儲將超額準備金率下調50個基點至1.1%，美聯儲聯邦公開市場委員會稱，美國經濟基本面依然強勁，將密切監察經濟發展及其對經濟前景的影響，並會運用相關工具，採取適當行動支持經濟。目前市場預期美聯儲在4月份進一步降息25個基點的概率仍高達68.6%。
基本面助攻黃金收復失地
從現貨黃金周線圖看，金價上周觸及1690美元/盎司一線後持續回落，最低一度接近1560美元/盎司一線，收線跌破ma5均線支撐，但本周只用了不到三天時間基本將價格打回上周開盤價附近，目前macd指標雙線仍在金叉過程當中，且ma5均線依舊向上提供支撐，若是本周金價能成功收高，後市有望結束回調並重新回歸強勢。
周內短時間需注意，日線方面ma5均線仍未拐頭形成支撐，縱使今日價格收高，但明日ma5均線亦只會上移至1620美元/盎司一線位置，距離現價位仍有20美元或以上的幅度，將對金價短時間內進一步反彈帶來阻滯，屆時1650-1660區間或將成為金價壓力重災區，需重點留意。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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