王垣鑫：1560一線壓力效果良好，現貨黃金持續寬幅震盪
昨日亞盤金價震盪走高，歐盤開盤後主要以回踩為主，隨後於1641美元/盎司一線找到支撐美盤重新走強並一度接近1660美元/盎司一線位置，但從大田環球現貨黃金盤面上可以看到最終並未能成功突破，淩晨開啟回落並收回昨日所有反彈幅度，亞盤開盤後窄幅震盪，今日現貨黃金行情整體仍交投於寬幅震盪區間內。
美聯儲降息概率飆升
週四交易商預計美聯儲最早下個月開始降息的可能性一度超過70%，並料在9月前可能大幅降息75個基點。這將使短期目標利率自2017年以來首次降至1%以下。值得一提的是週三交易商認為3月份降息的可能性只有33%，而根據週五美國聯邦基金利率期貨顯示，美聯儲3月份降息的概率已經飆升至88%，利率期貨也顯示美聯儲年內將降息三次。
有別於許多其他央行，美聯儲仍有降息的空間，儘管聯儲決策者稱在去年降息三次後，經濟數據出現實質性變化是他們在採取進一步行動前希望看到的，但與此同時他們也警告說，應對經濟衝擊的任何措施在通脹已經很低的情況下都可能需要加大力度才能產生效果。
現貨黃金持續震盪
前兩日金價曾兩度測試1625美元/盎司一線支撐，但未能成功下破，隨後開啟反彈有形成雙底形態跡象，但昨日晚間上攻1660美元/盎司一線失敗，金價再度回落收回日內反彈幅度，目前金價整體仍處於1635-1660寬幅震盪區間內。
日線級別方面ma5均線被跌破，短時間內有拐頭形成壓力跡象，但下方ma10均線支撐效果暫時良好，金價波動幅度被局限於ma5壓力及ma10支撐之間，日內建議先繼續關注這兩條均線，即1635-1650區間的支撐壓力效果。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.