王垣鑫：現貨黃金急拉高，留意1600防守情況
昨日受全球股市下跌，疊加市場由於公共衛生事件對於全球經濟影響的擔憂情緒開始升溫，從而引發現貨黃金買盤，從大田環球現貨黃金盤面上可以看到，昨日晚間金價在美盤短短三個小時內暴拉近18美元，現貨黃金直接沖上1600美元/盎司整數關口上方，雖短時間內多頭暫時沒有進一步動作，但截至至目前為止，現貨黃金價格整體仍徘徊於1600美元/盎司一線高位之上。
美元指數持續走強
美元指數自本月初開始回踩周線上升通道下軌支撐，即97.35一線位置後開始持續走強，目前雖已到達99.35-99.66前方階段性高點壓力區間，但距離周線上升通道上軌壓力位置還有不少的空間，短時間內美指或有承壓跡象，但隨後仍有機會進一步走高。
黃金和美元的負相關性跌至8年低位，主要受到美國經濟數據仍總體向好的影響，美元避險吸引力較強，還有是因為部分黃金的避險買需被稀釋，短時間內可關注美聯儲紀要和週五一系列製造業數據。
日內現貨黃金或保持震盪
現貨黃金價格自昨日晚間美盤開盤一輪大幅拉高走勢後，後半夜開始基本維持窄幅震盪走勢，從大田環球現貨黃金盤面上可以看到，窄幅震盪區間為1600-1605，幅度僅5美元，目前雖1h級別macd指標已經變盤死叉，但4h級別方面價格仍處於ma5均線上方，且均線簇呈多頭排列，也就是說目前價格下方仍有支撐，日內不排除進一步沖高的可能。
但需要注意日線級別今天是高開，ma5均線支撐仍在1590美元/盎司一線附近，距離現價位10美元，日內亦存在拉回踩均線確認支撐的需求，建議可以留意1600-1605區間的突破方向，若後市金價上破該區間，則日內可看進一步往前高1611美元/盎司進發；若後市金價跌破1600美元/盎司一線，則可看日內往日線ma5均線即1590美元/盎司一線方向回踩以確認下方支撐的有效性，屆時可嘗試適當跟進。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.