王垣鑫：金價進入方向選擇期 重點關注1580一線壓力
上周五晚間美國公佈非農就業人口數據，人口增長較為樂觀但失業率有所上升，受此影響金價短時間走低後，於1565美元/盎司一線快速反彈，今日亞盤開盤後價格短暫延續反彈走勢沖高至1576.4美元/盎司一線後承壓開啟回落，現階段現貨黃金價格交投於1571美元/盎司一線位置。本周為美聯儲官員密集發聲期，或將為金價帶來大幅頻繁波動行情。
靚麗非農難以壓制金價
上周五晚間美國公佈1月非農就業數據，數據顯示就業人口增加22.5萬，但失業率從3.5%小幅上升至3.6%，勞動力參與率上升了0.2個百分點至63.4%，達到2013年6月以來的最高水準，平均時薪較上年同期增長3.1%，至28.44美元，高於3%的增長預期。這標誌著連續18個月工資漲幅超過3%，12月份最初公佈的漲幅2.9%被上調至3%。平均每週工作時間維持在34.3小時不變。
但非農數據帶來的利空影響並不能有效壓制金價，現貨黃金價格在短暫承壓後快速反彈破高，有分析認為由於良好的美國就業市場已經被市場充分消化，投資者應警惕亞洲避險消息給金價帶來的風險，而不是美國的就業市場，這種風險也可能導致全球央行加大寬鬆政策，從而對金價產生提振作用。
近期金價於1550美元/盎司下方受支撐反彈後持續走高，雖上周連續收出陽線但整體反彈速度依然偏慢，需要注意的是目前金價剛重新站上MA5均線上方，但價格仍處於日線級別寬幅震盪區間當中，且MACD指標雙線仍在死叉過程當中，暗示後市仍有再度回落的風險。
目前KDJ指標三線粘合，表示價格進入方向選擇期，上方1580美元/盎司一線建議重點參考，短時間內能完成快速上破動作的話，後市短時間內仍有進一步衝擊1600美元/盎司一線的機會；但若短時間內1580美元/盎司一線繼續承壓的話，則日線寬幅震盪過程或將進一步延續。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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