王垣鑫：1560一線遭突破 現貨黃金跌勢加劇
本周金價開盤後小幅沖高至1591.8美元/盎司一線後開啟回落走勢，週一當天直接回踩日線重要均線支撐ma10附近，日內最大跌幅達20美元，週二更是進一步擴大下跌幅度至28美元，金價直接跌破1560美元/盎司一線，日線級別ma5均線已經有拐頭跡象，目前macd指標雙線死叉向下開口，短時間內回落過程或仍將持續。
美國大選拉開序幕
美國中部時間2月3日晚7時，2020年美國總統選舉將正式拉開帷幕，位於美國中西部的艾奧瓦州在超過1600個選區舉行民主黨和共和黨總統選舉首場黨內預選。由於艾奧瓦州的民主黨黨團選舉無法於週一晚迅速公佈結果，導致該黨陷入政治尷尬境地，而原本鮮為人知的印第安那州小城市市長皮特·布蒂吉格化身總統大選黑馬，已經成為民主黨諸多候選人中領跑者中的一員。
據《紐約時報》報導，目前有11名民主黨人和包括總統特朗普在內的3名共和黨人角逐黨內提名。在民主黨陣營裏，前副總統拜登、聯邦參議員桑德斯和伊莉莎白·沃倫在多數民調中領先。
黃金日內或有反彈
本周初金價連續下挫，此前支撐金價向上反彈的ma5及ma10均線均被跌破，ma5均線開始向下拐頭形成壓力，而前段時間一直黏合的MACD指標雙線亦開始向下開口死叉，種種跡象表明短時間內金價走勢被空方所掌控，後市進一步回落收回1550美元/盎司一線漲幅的概率較大。
但需注意日內價格在ma40均線附近找到支撐出現反彈，加之ma5均線壓力目前距離價格較遠且日內價格並未完成反抽均線壓力的動作，因此日內仍有相當概率價格會出現反彈確認ma5均線壓力的動作，短時間內建議重點關注1555美元/盎司一線支撐。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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