王垣鑫：金價持續走高 提防周內回踩
2019年12月23日耶誕節當周金價大幅走高，據大田環球貴金屬現貨黃金盤面報價顯示，上周國際現貨黃金開於1477.5美元/盎司一線，整一周時間內基本沒有明顯的回踩過程，低點位於1477.2美元/盎司一線，整體以震盪走高為主，高點位於1515美元/盎司一線，直接收回左側11月3日當周至今的跌幅，最終收於1512.4美元/盎司一線。
美元重挫跌破上升通道
上周五美元一度重挫逾0.6%，為10月份以來最大單日跌幅，本週一開盤後跌勢延續，再度刷新兩周低點，有分析稱一方面由於投資者節後進行了倉位調整操作，出脫了此前增加的美元多頭頭寸，另一方面也因市場對即將進入大選年的美國經濟及貨幣政策前景有著更多顧慮，導致美元出現大幅下跌。
此外美國總統特朗普一直抱怨美元匯率過高，在大選臨近之際，市場預計特朗普將會向美聯儲施加更多壓力以壓低美元匯價，同時大選本身存在的不確定性也會令資金從美國市場有所外流，還有一些投資者仍擔心美國對外貿易政策可能傷及其自身經濟，這些情緒在節後逐一彙聚，也令美元意外遭到了強力拋售，目前美元指數已經跌破周線上升通道下軌支撐，後市或將打開進一步下跌空間。
現貨黃金重回千五
與美元指數相對，現貨黃金近期多頭走勢可謂聲勢浩大，在十二月份的時間裏面金價並未出現明顯跌幅，而價格向上突破並站穩周線ma5均線亦或在暗示金價多頭已經提前到來，持續15周的回調過程或已結束。
但短時間內仍需留意周線均線支撐仍在1487美元/盎司一線位置，在沒有回踩確認支撐的情況底下，本周價格高開對於黃金多頭來講或許並不是好事，日線kdj指標三線已經處於超買位置，需警惕隨時可能到來的回調過程。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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