王垣鑫：臨門一腳！非農能否助力回調？
導語：2019年9月6日晚迎來本年度的第九次非農數據公佈，上月非農數據就業人口數據有所回落，失業率小幅抬頭，公佈數據後小時內金價走勢表現為震盪，整體區間控制在1433-1442以內，昨日金價大幅回落，本次非農或將成為金價回調走勢能否開啟的重要因素。
大田環球貴金屬提示：2019年9月公佈的為2019年8月非農數據
- 市場基本面
1.於8月1日美聯儲聯邦基金利率區間調整至2.0%-2.25%。
- 全球貿易局勢緊張。
- 美聯儲官員整體態度偏鴿。
- 數據分析
上個月非農表現較前一個月表現令人失望，季調後非農就業人口增加16.4萬，少於預期的增加16.5萬，失業率小幅抬頭至3.7%，本期非農就業人口預期值為增加16萬，失業率預期值持平，達到預期值可能性較大。
- 技術面走勢
現貨黃金近期強勢反彈，自低位1270一線開始最高已經反彈近287美元的幅度，但昨日金價再度上探高位壓力後大幅回落，短時間內有回踩測試1500美元/盎司整數關口的跡象，周線方面ma5均線支撐又被突破的風險，晚間非農或將決定這次突破能否成功，一旦成功後市有望開啟周線回調。
- 非農佈局參考
昨日金價大幅回落，日線錄得大實體陰線形態，今日日線開線價格並未反抽日線ma5確認壓力，在壓力不到位的情況底下金價向下突破昨日低點難度較大，且下破幅度並不是太讓人看好，非農金價維持兩年的震盪規律近期有所鬆動晚間或有機會出現大幅度單邊行情。
下方建議重點留意1500美元/盎司一線整數關口支撐，若數據公佈沒出現大幅度利空或者利多的情況底下，建議下方重點留意1500美元/盎司整數關口的支撐效果，上方重點留意1520美元/盎司一線壓力效果；但若出現大幅度利多或者大幅度利空的數據結果時，建議下方重點關注1490美元/盎司一線支撐效果，上方重點留意1530-1533壓力區間。
（屆時也可留意大田環球貴金屬直播間即時指引，建議僅供參考，入市有風險，投資需謹慎）
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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