王垣鑫：現貨黃金周線多頭延續
8月19日當周現貨黃金價格大漲，據大田環球貴金屬現貨黃金盤面價格顯示，金價於1510美元/盎司一線開盤，收於1527美元/盎司一線，周內最低觸及1492美元/盎司一線位置，從形態上來看，整周表現為觸底反彈走勢，周線級別支撐均線ma5依舊處於價格下方位置，上行趨勢並未遭到破壞。
原本國際貿易局勢有所緩和，美聯儲會議紀要重申7月降息只是週期中的調整，美國就業數據也非常穩健，這些給美元提供支撐，令金價多次回落至1500整數關口下方，最低觸及1492.20美元/盎司，但隨著中國方面提出關稅反制措施，美國股市大幅下跌，避險情緒顯著升溫，再加上美聯儲主席鮑威爾在傑克遜霍爾年會上的講話偏向鴿派，美元也大幅走弱，也給金價提供上漲動能。
周線均線仍是重要支撐參考
周線均線簇呈現多頭排列形態，價格亦處於ma5均線之上，這是比較明顯的多頭趨勢，而後市多頭延續性仍需關注日線級別方面的走勢，從日線級別上看，現階段多頭在觸及1534美元/盎司一線後短時間內並未能創出新高，日線陷入高位震盪局面，且macd指標雙線處於死叉過程當中，表示短時間內日線級別暫處於調整狀態當中，後市多頭延續需以向上突破震盪區間為信號。
因此下周下方重點關注周線均線位置支撐效果，若金價回踩隨後反彈，或直接向上突破1534美元/盎司一線位置，則周內有機會進一步往1550美元/盎司一線進發，但若金價直接向下跌破周線ma5支撐位置，則多單需謹慎，短時間內密切留意日線ma5是否有形成壓力的跡象，若日線均線形成壓力壓制金價，則周線將大概率向下收破ma5支撐均線，現階段如若周線ma5被下破，金價將失去周線級別的支撐，趨勢將有機會轉變為回調走勢，有機會向下再度測試1480美元/盎司甚至是1450美元/盎司一線位置。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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