王垣鑫：降息預期重燃空頭遭橫掃
受美聯儲主席鮑威爾鴿派言論影響，市場重新燃起對於美聯儲降息預期，受此影響現貨黃金價格昨日晚間大幅拉高至1411美元/盎司一線，短暫回踩後淩晨時段進一步打開上行空間，漲勢延續至今日亞盤時段最高一度觸碰1426.9美元/盎司一線。
美國經濟面臨持續風險
鮑威爾在國會聽證會上表示，受多個因素影響，美國經濟前景在近期沒有出現好轉跡象，不確定性增加。普遍認為，鮑威爾的言論表明美聯儲可能將在近期降息，自從6月美聯儲會議以來，貿易摩擦所帶來的不確定因素和全球經濟增長下降都將影響美國經濟前景。儘管美國6月就業市場表現良好，新增22.4萬個就業崗位，但這不能改變美國經濟前景面臨諸多風險的事實。
鴿派言論重創美指提振金價
鮑威爾講稿提前公佈瞬間美元指數重挫，金價向上飆升20美元/盎司幅度，短暫回調後後半夜再度發力狂攬16美元，從日線級別來看，前段時間做出來的雙頂形態雛形被破壞，目前金價整體主要維持寬幅震盪走勢，區間為1380-1438，但需要注意ma5支撐仍在1400美元/盎司附近，加之日內1h級別和4h級別macd指標方向並不統一，建議等待金價突破4h級別ma5支撐或突破1h級別ma5後再進場跟進。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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