黃紹山：利率決議來襲，黃金何去何從
關鍵字：利率決議
我們回顧一下本周的黃金，黃金在踏入本周加息周後迎來了一段不錯的上漲，從週一的1235附近，到今天週三早間沖高的1251附近，總體來看本周黃金還是較為強勢，而在週四淩晨三點鐘即將迎來十二月份美聯儲議息利率決議，而反觀黃金方面，由於大資料來臨，黃金日內波幅或以震盪來過渡。
黃金走勢良好，但指標存疑
我們從4小時級別可以看到，盤面呈現出十分強勁的上漲趨勢給到我們，但是MACD方面卻出現了一點小問題，由於日內早上沖高50的動作，令目前小時級別MACD存在著有機會形成頂背離的情況所出現，如果四小時MACD做出死叉那麼這一個頂背離將會成立，意味著行情或有往下調整的需求所在，若晚間資料令黃金下跌，則黃金或將迎來調整，但如果利多黃金，隨著黃金價格上漲MACD持續走高，那麼這個背離也就沒有存在一說，所以今晚的美聯儲議息會議也是我們急需要留意的，
美聯儲利率決議
在晚間的美聯儲決議，市場預期晚間也是大概率的加息，從2%-2.25%利率區間上調至2.25%-2.5%區間，同時也完成了美聯儲在本年內預期的第四次加息，但是晚間著重的關注點並不在於此，而是在於美聯儲接下來公佈的經濟預期及加息點陣圖還有更為重要的接下來淩晨三點半的鮑威爾新聞發佈會。
晚間鮑威爾如何看待下一年的加息前景也是晚間關注的重點之一，但在鮑威爾最後一次發言當中，市場認為鮑威爾的發言沒有相對以前的有鷹派，並認為目前利率略低於中性利率區間，借此市場認為鮑威爾或有轉為鴿派的可能性，那麼晚間需要關注鮑威爾對中性利率的看法也是晚間的重點之一，屆時各位切記做好風控措施。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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