林幽沃：現貨黃金回調或出現良機
關鍵字：現貨黃金
現貨黃金在經歷數月的震盪後出現突破關鍵壓力1215的行情，翹首以待的走勢終於出現，現貨黃金終於有望進入多方的歡呼之中。在本周初，現貨黃金的價格曾經觸及每盎司1233美元的價位，隨後連續遇壓後回落。本人相信，此次回落並非現貨黃金多方的結束，而是蓄力再次上行的調整。
行情思路：
1，從8月開始至10月的震盪區間被向上突破，暫時將趨勢認為偏向多方。震盪時間越長的區間，其大幅破位的有效性越高。
2，在遇到前期重要點位1235附近一線開展回落，調整指標以及進行二次回踩的需求。
3，突破後首次回踩5日均線，在日線收線前只要能收回再5日均線上方即可。
消息思路：
目前時間點恰好在美聯儲9月加息後以及12月利率決議前的空檔，加上美國中期選舉、英國“脫歐”議案和伊核協議等消息都集中在10月-11月公佈，現貨黃金有巨大的潛力在該時間點上趁機回升，為明年年初做好鋪墊。
總結：
個人認為，無論在技術面亦或是消息面，10月-11月是現貨黃金非常好的上漲機會。在經歷了半年的回落後，無論後市是選擇繼續深跌亦或上漲，都應該先作出適當的反彈後再進行下一步的行情預測。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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