林幽沃：英國“脫歐”虛驚一場
關鍵字：歐盟，英國，脫歐
距離英國“脫歐”公投已經過去兩年多的時間，在期間英國與歐盟委員會經歷多次談判，在不久的將來會公佈結果。歐盟希望在2018年11月前能夠與英國達成協議，為次年3月英國正式“脫歐”做好準備，由於目前歐盟不允許英國繼續留在歐盟單一市場中，英國要做好硬脫歐的準備。
歐盟首席脫歐談判官巴尼耶在前些時間曾說道“我們準備與英國建立前所未有的夥伴關係”。這句話一度刺激歐洲地區貨幣暴漲，英鎊兌美元短線拉升。但隨後依然申明不允許英國繼續留在歐盟單一市場之中。
大田環球貴金屬林幽沃預測，英國最終依然會脫離歐盟的單一市場，但換來的是非常低的關稅以及更多的合作。對於英國來說，只需要付出較低的成本就可以繼續和歐盟進行貿易來往，也可以有更大的空間與其他國家進行貿易談判。如果關稅能夠按預期一樣，對英國發展會有利。
歷時兩年的“脫歐”談判，最終可能發展的結果與當初沒有進行公投一樣，但英國選擇做出改變進行發展，無疑是一個歷時上的進程。但如果歐盟對英國“脫歐”的行為不加以懲罰，那麼將會有越來越多的歐盟成員國效仿，所以最關鍵是歐盟對英國在“脫歐”後的關稅設置變化如何。
英國在當初進入歐盟的時候無疑是沖著老大的地位去的，非常無奈依然不能超越德國，最後導致一直被歐盟拖著發展的腳步。本次“脫歐”有望重振英國在世界上的地位，再次打響世界金融中心的名號。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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