羊首領：原油漲幅超過3% 本次上攻直指74美元
原油經歷了1個多月的回檔，從7月3日開始的73.85美元/桶高位，一路下跌至8月中旬的63.88美元/桶低位元，回檔幅度超過13%。在此期間市場消息橫飛，大部分認為諸多國家開始回應美國總統特朗普要求進行增產。但大田環球羊首領認為，事實上大部分人都忽略了問題的原點，伊核協議問題導致的波斯灣或被封鎖，將會持續發酵影響原油市場，讓其得到較強的支撐與助漲作用。
3分之1的原油受到威脅
世界原油產量不可能在短時間內大幅度改變的情況下，那麼短時間內能限制原油進出將是影響油價最嚴重的因素。自從美國退出伊核協議後，伊美兩國就一直劍拔弩張，並且在8月初伊朗就表明必要時將封鎖波斯灣，隨後還進行了軍演，向美國人證明伊朗絕對有封鎖波斯灣的能力與魄力，這一問題到現在還沒有任何緩解的情況，也就意味著世界上3分之1的原油受到了威脅，因此供求關係隨時被威脅發生改變，原油也很自然獲得上行的支撐與動力。
千金難買牛回頭
原油從2016年的27美元/桶上漲至2018年最高位73美元/桶，漲幅近兩倍。在道氏理論當中，漲幅達到20%為牛市，那麼漲幅兩倍，相信稱其為大牛市或瘋牛格局，相信在此並不會有人覺得有異議了吧。在瘋牛的過程裡，市場購買力非常充足，那就變得很難給予回檔的機會，讓大家再能買到廉價的籌碼，這也稱為千金難買牛回頭。當下回檔了1個多月的原油市場，在昨天，給出了3%的大幅度漲幅，首領認為這基本可以判定為再次上攻的起漲攻勢，在牛市格局中起漲有是破高要求的，那本次再次起漲所指向的目標位置將是越過73.85美元/桶，而現時油價仍然在67美元附近徘徊，利潤空間巨大，可逢低進行交易操作。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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