熊傲君：土耳其“偏向虎山行”
關鍵字：土耳其危機，里拉暴跌
近幾天，最火辣的問題便是土耳其里拉突發崩盤，出現經濟危機，一旦蔓延著整個歐洲市場，連累了新興市場貨幣，引發連鎖效應，此舉的原因在於土耳其被美國盯上了，慘被加大關稅等一系列手段的制裁，市場反應非常迅速，再次把押注放在美國身上，週一土耳其里拉出現大幅度暴跌，而土耳其卻還想以強硬方式對待。
美國制裁土耳其
牧師事件是本次危機的導火線，由於土耳其總體不肯釋放牧師，遭到了美國的經濟制裁，土耳其里拉本月為止已經下跌了近30%，受累于對土耳其總統埃爾多安在通脹上升情況下仍不願升息的擔憂，以及土耳其與美國之間的外交爭端升級。
其實早在年初，里拉就有下跌的跡象，當時速度不算快，但是整體貨幣已經開始走弱，而這次就是爆發的契機，過去兩年，由於地緣政治衝突加劇，國民經濟疲弱，出現較為嚴重的通貨膨脹，土耳其里拉一直處於貶值狀態。
土耳其對美國反擊
針對美國的制裁，土耳其總統埃爾多安並沒有打算退讓，反而態度相當強硬，可以說是雪上加霜，此前表示將繼續採取必要措施反抗經濟戰爭，據最新消息土耳其在官方公報上宣佈，將對包括大米、汽車、酒精、煤炭和化妝品在內的進口產品徵收額外關稅。
該項由埃爾多安簽署的法令顯示，土耳其將自美國進口的乘用車關稅提高了120%，酒精飲料關稅提高140%，煙草提高了60%。很顯然這樣的舉動或會進一步刺激特朗普的神經，一旦美國方再次加大制裁，土耳其恐陷入萬劫不復之地。
熊傲君簡介：
現任大田環球金業特約分析師，著名分析師，多次受邀匯通財經集團及中金線上等大型財經媒體採訪報導。 擅長各種杠杆交易品種分析，熟知莊家博弈和市場心理，獨創“LP（law and psychology）”交易方法。對時間節奏的把控和局部高低點捕捉極淮。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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