林幽沃：特朗普與美聯儲的恩愛情仇
關鍵字：美聯儲 特朗普
7月19日晚間，特朗普在接收採訪時稱不喜歡美聯儲在經濟走強的時候進行加息，令到非美貨幣與貴金屬出現短時間內的暴力反彈，市場為此一度瘋狂，空頭瞬間灰飛煙滅。
美東時間7月19日本週四，特朗普接受CNBC採訪時說，他沒有為美聯儲加息“激動”，每次經濟走強聯儲就要再次加息。“實際上，我沒有為此開心。但同時我讓他們做他們覺得最適合的事。”
在歷史上，美聯儲作為獨立於美國聯邦政府的機構，作出的決策不應受政界方面的影響。不過，美聯儲主席也是美國總統提名的，就是說鮑威爾亦是特朗普所提名出任美聯儲主席，所以，在一定的程度上美聯儲主席也會配合財政政策去實施貨幣政策。
而在過去，美國總統幾乎沒有在公開場合對美聯儲所制定的利率政策評論，本次特朗普一如既往發表不同於傳統的言論，市場也一如既往地做出了反應，本來疲弱的非美貨幣以及貴金屬，都出現反轉的走勢。
從目前環境來看，特朗普在2017年12月底簽署了稅改政策，為企業減輕負擔，而美聯儲則在2018年6月的利率決議後的新聞發佈會上稱加息有可能將會加快。特朗普選擇在這個時間點上表達出“在經濟走強時，美聯儲則要加息”的不滿，可能會打壓原本美聯儲在9月加息的概率。
從目前市場走勢來看，非美貨幣與貴金屬都出現了較好的反彈力度，市場對美聯儲年內加息4次的預期降低，美元的強勢走勢有望告一段落，可以重點關注貴金屬的支撐力度，在進行操作。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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