林幽沃：“貿易戰”是把雙刃劍
在4月初以來，特朗普政府拿出貿易戰這個工具，把貿易夥伴國拉上談判桌，意圖形成對美國有利的公平貿易。在過去將近2個月的時間特朗普一直將加征關稅放在嘴邊，卻遲遲沒有實施。直至6月1日，在歐盟、墨西哥以及加拿大的豁免期完結前都未能談判成功，最終才開始實施加徵收關稅。
特朗普政府目前面臨著一些難題：
1，加征關稅雖然把貿易夥伴國拉到談判桌上進行談判，但一直以來口頭上說的加征關稅並沒有真正的行動，令談判桌上的風向未能向美國有利的方向發展。
所以美國為了“貿易戰”這個工具在談判桌上具有威力，在和中國進行談判前向歐盟、墨西哥以及加拿大的鋼鋁徵收關稅。
2，“貿易戰”同時也會影響到股市的投資情緒，美股在每次“貿易戰”出現新進展的時候出現急速下跌跡象，在釋放出有好信號之後也會進行回升。
這一舉動無論令美股散發出只要“貿易戰”正式開打，就立即崩盤的信號。然而這也不是特朗普政府想看到，所以也會適時放出有好的信號來維穩國內情緒。
特朗普政府正艱難地利用“貿易戰”這一個工具，要確保國內投資情緒良好，並不斷地測試貿易夥伴國的底線以求獲取最大的利益。
大田環球林幽沃認為，特朗普政府搬出加征關稅的工具，強迫使貿易國都要與其開展談判，美國國內資金也擔憂貿易戰會影響到企業的發展。目前，特朗普政府如果稍有一步走錯，美國則會從全球領導的位置變為全球敵對的目標。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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