林幽沃:美元獨佔龍頭 黃金創年內新低
現貨黃金在5月15日晚間跌破1300大關,創2018年最低點,最低下行至1288.8美元/盎司後反彈,沒有出現破位後大幅快速下行的走勢。當前,在美元重拾強勢的背景下,現貨黃金受到壓力較大,在跌破1300重要水平線支撐後,有望進一步下探1280以及1250較早前期的支撐點位。
消息面:
美國30年期國債收益率勢將創下三個半月來最大單日漲幅,該收益率最新報207%。美國10年期國債收益率上漲6.8個基點,刷新2011年7月份以來高位至3.063%。美國債券收益率持續攀升,資金不斷抽離其餘投資產品轉入債市。
歐盟外長莫蓋裏尼指出,有關國家同意進行專家級別的工作來保護伊核協議。歐洲國家同意採取共同行動來挽救伊核協議,相關行動包括確保伊朗原油出口以及與伊朗的銀行交易有效。
技術面:
從現貨黃金日線圖來看,以大實體跌破1300關口的情況下來看,日內只能選擇反彈做空的舉動,目前維穩於1290上方進行震盪,關注壓力空間1296-1298附近。如在美盤前未能觸碰該位置,則需要在1294-95擇機空單進場,止損1300上方,短期看1280-85區間目標。
大田環球貴金屬林幽沃認為,在接近半年震盪的時間後黃金選擇向下突破,在下方空間打開後仍然有繼續深度回落的機會,後市中期主要看1250-60區間的支撐。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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