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王垣鑫:後市仍存疑黃金需謹慎

上周國際現貨黃金主要以低位反彈走勢為主,據大田環球貴金屬黃金盤面報價顯示上周黃金于1315美元/盎司附近開盤,收于1320美元/盎司附近,周內最高上行至1325美元/盎司稍上,最低下探至1305美元/盎司稍下,周線錄得帶上下影線小實體陽線十字星形態。

王垣鑫:後市仍存疑黃金需謹慎

大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫認為,上周現貨黃金的反彈與此前因美元強勢反彈相對應,雖說中東局勢掀起的市場避險情緒對黃金起到一定的提振作用,但主要還是由於美元指數出現高位回落,讓黃金多頭有了喘息的機會。

另外大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫亦提醒到,現貨黃金雖在上周有了較為可觀的反彈走勢,但其可延續性也是後市我們需要關注的重點,可以發現上週末段交易時間內黃金承壓的位置剛好位於周線ma5壓力位附近,可以看到目前周線級別裡面macd指標仍在死叉週期當中,種種情況表明,周線級別目前仍然偏弱。

王垣鑫:後市仍存疑黃金需謹慎

上周出現底部的級別為1小時和4小時的短期底部,日線級別出現雙底形態雛形,但仍未經過回踩確認的步驟,因此在周線級別目前仍然偏弱的環境底下,仍有下跌風險,因此本周初關注的第一個重點就是日線級別雙底的回踩結果。

王垣鑫:後市仍存疑黃金需謹慎

大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫建議,日內先以低多思路為主,因為目前仍在反彈走勢當中,雖然小時級別當中有頭肩頂的雛形,但頸線位置仍未突破成型,另外日線今日ma5及ma10均向上運行,這種情況下今日日線收線難以收破這兩條均線,也就是說縱使最後結果可能是下破,但今日內1316美元/盎司一線仍有較大概率出現日內反彈,但切記目標過大。若本次日線級別回踩成功,後市則有機會重新回到周線級別大震盪區間上端,再度挑戰1353,1365壓力位,若回踩失敗則短時間內1300整數關口將再次迎來挑戰。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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