黃紹山：晚間非農即將重磅來襲
美聯儲本周週四淩晨利率決議不變，美聯儲政策聲明對於經濟方面措辭稍微偏鴿，導致黃金短時間內沖高回落，而本周最後焦點即將落在晚間的非農就業人口資料上。大田環球分析師黃紹山認為在本次中美談判、中東局勢不穩定、以及美元漲勢暫緩的背景下，晚間非農數據不用質疑也將是本周的重磅焦點。
大田環球據資料得知，本次非農就業人數預計為19.2萬，近期美國就業方面逐漸恢復此前強勢的增長，每月新增保持在15萬就業人數以上基本達標。除此之外晚間公佈的失業率、以及薪資增速也一直備受市場關注，本次失業率預期仍然給出了4%，已經連續6個月沒有任何變動，此預期依然是處於2000年以來失業率的低位。而薪資年率方面本次預期2.7%與前值相等，儘管多數人希望薪資能夠大幅度增長，但是若然有越來越多的新增就業人口進入美國勞動市場，薪資水準方面可能會因此被打壓。晚間非農資料若不出意外，資料整體上達到預期，薪資水準增長，失業率下降，那麼美元無疑將會繼續回歸上漲勢頭，而黃金恐防突破1300關口，反而之非農等資料出現意外，美元漲勢或難以繼續承接，黃金則有望築底上漲。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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