林幽沃：美聯儲鷹派不及預期，現貨黃金空頭止步1300大關
北京時間5月3日淩晨美聯儲發佈議息會議聲明，其中表示勞動力市場不斷走強，市場經濟整體一直以溫和的腳步上行。鑒於近幾個月以來就業整體增長強勁，失業率也長時間保持低位，通脹率在剔除食品與能源等專案後已經接近2%。但考慮到讓通脹率上行壓力逐漸加大，暫時維持利率在1.5%至1.75%區間。
美聯儲對加息態度謹慎
自2015年12月以來，美聯儲加息次數達到6次，現貨黃金每逢遇到美聯儲加息就會顯露出相對的疲弱勢頭。在過去6次的美聯儲加息前夕，現貨黃金都會下跌30美元-50美元不等的幅度。而在加息落地後，都會出爆發性的反彈。
目前來看，由於在美聯儲利率決議前夕公佈的核心PCE數據達到1.9%，非常接近美聯儲對通脹達到2%的要求。但在昨夜美聯儲利率決議最終決定公佈維持利率不變，大田環球貴金屬林幽沃認為發佈的聲明沒有達到市場預期的鷹派，即不會將加息步伐提速。
黃金空頭無力下行？
現貨黃金在進入2018年後已經維持長達4個月在1300-1370區間震盪，本次下行依然保持在大區間範圍內運行，能否跌破區間觸發新一輪的單邊行情成為現時的重要關注點。
大田環球貴金屬林幽沃認為，本次下跌速度以及均線壓制都配合得非常好，下破概率較之前都要大。但目前來看，現貨黃金依然死守1300關口，導致空頭趨勢緩慢下來轉變成震盪，後市投資者短期以1315-1320區間作為主要壓力，如無法突破行情依然偏空對待。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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